Week 15 Recap (Oct 20 – Oct 24 2025) — Staying Grounded After the 100-Day Milestone

The first full trading week after crossing 100 days was humbling, reflective, and essential.
It reminded me that the market doesn’t care about milestones — it only rewards consistency.

This week brought a mix of small wins and a few notable losses.
It wasn’t pretty, but it reinforced why discipline beats excitement in the long run.


💼 Trade-by-Trade Breakdown

#DateStrategyLotP/LReturnNotes
1Oct 20 – 219/23 DC (Overnight)2+$219+1.5 %Textbook theta decay gain; smooth overnight trade.
2Oct 202/7 DC8+$515+1.8 %Clean same-day exit after brief consolidation; power-hour spike helped.
3Oct 21 – 239/23 DC2– $111–0.9 %Small loss from flat vol structure; closed early.
4Oct 212/7 DC (Morning)4– $682–5.0 %Entered wrong time window; classic overtrading temptation.
5Oct 212/7 DC (Afternoon)3– $902–7.6 %Range-bound market hurt premiums; took loss before close.
6Oct 22 – 249/23 DC3+$223+1.3 %End-of-week stabilization; slow but positive finish.

Weekly Total: – $738
📉 Weekly Return: – 1.0 % (on ≈ $74 K base)


🧭 Quick Summary

This week had seven active positions, but only three ended green.
Losses came mostly from early entries — exactly what my backtests warned against for October.
The bright side: the plan worked when I stuck to it.

The goal from here isn’t to avoid red days, but to remove unforced errors.


📊 Performance Snapshot (After Week 15)

MetricValue
Starting Capital$50 000
Current Capital$73 520
Total Return (100 Days)+47.0 %
Winning Weeks13 of 15
Average Weekly Gain+3.0 %
CAGR (Annualized)~290 %
Primary Systems2/7 DC (Mon/Tue) · 9/23 DC (Wed–Fri)

💡 Lessons This Week

  1. Don’t fight the calendar.
    October back-tests clearly show weak 2/7 performance. Exiting intraday or skipping entirely is often the right move.
  2. Volatility filters matter.
    When VIX slope is flat, theta harvest disappears. Better to wait than force trades.
  3. Stick to automation.
    The two biggest losses came from manual deviations. Lesson repeated.
  4. Small greens still compound.
    Even +1 % weeks matter — they stack.

💭 Reflection

After the 100-day celebration, reality checked in.
I felt the temptation to trade more, to “prove consistency.”
But that very urge creates inconsistency.
This week reminded me that discipline isn’t built by winning trades — it’s built by the trades you don’t take.

“The market doesn’t test your strategy first — it tests your patience.”


🔭 Looking Ahead to Week 16

  • Continue intraday-only exits for 2/7 DCs.
  • Increase focus on vol-adjusted entries for 9/23 DCs.
  • Log each deviation → tag with “emotional reason.”
  • Target flat week rather than high P/L.

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